In Plus episode 390, we explore why stock markets generally appreciate over the long-term. We review how to analyze real estate deals sourced from real estate platforms like Crowdstreet. Finally, we review a way to invest in single-family rental homes using tracking stocks available via Roofstock One. … [Read more...]
374: Lifecycle Investing, Risk Parity Portfolios, and Why Stocks Are Riskier in the Long Run
How lifecycle investing and risk parity portfolios can assist you in having sufficient assets to retire. What are the two types of time diversification and why is one flawed? Topics covered include: What is settled work and what are some examplesHow does lifecycle investing work and should you consider itWhy investing in stocks and other volatile asset classes is riskier over longer holding periodsWhat are risk-parity portfolios and how to evaluate them Show Notes The moral … [Read more...]
361 Plus: Closed-End Fund Tender Offers and Asset Class Returns During High Inflation Environments
In Plus Episode 361, we review the proxy battle that has led to a tender offer by Templeton Global Income Fund (GIM) to purchase up to 70% of its outstanding shares. We consider whether now is the time to sell the fund. We also review two studies on how different asset classes and investment strategies performed during periods of high inflation. … [Read more...]
356 Plus: September 2021 Investment Conditions, Valuing Pensions, and Maximum Drawdowns
In Plus Episode 356, we review economic trends, asset class valuations, and market internals as of early September 2021. We consider how to value a pension and how to incorporate it into an asset allocation. Finally, we review how maximum drawdown calculations are determined for the Money For the Rest of Us Plus asset allocation model and how frequently maximum drawdowns occur, using the S&P 500 Index as an example. … [Read more...]
354 Plus: Advisory Fees, A Mortgage Note Fund and Safe Haven Investing
In Plus Episode 354, we explore how to evaluate an advisor's business model to estimate their firm revenue to see if their fees seem fair. We consider the impact of valuation changes on stock performance. We review a fund that invests in private mortgage notes and promises an 8% preferred return. Finally, we review Mark Spitznagel's new book on safe haven investing. … [Read more...]
353 Plus: China, VIEs and Stock Performance Over the Past Decade
In Plus Episode 353, we review variable interest entities, the corporate structure used by some of the largest publicly traded technology companies operating in China. We review the risks of this structure, especially in light of recent regulatory actions taken by the Chinese government against publicly traded tutoring companies. We compare the risks of investing in China and other emerging markets with the risks of investing in an expensive U.S. stock market. … [Read more...]
289: Market Timing Versus Time in the Market
Why market timing and time in the market are both practiced by most investors. Given the coronavirus pandemic threat why it is okay to reduce stock exposure. Topics covered include: What would a stock portfolio return that misses the best or worst days and how likely is that.How do rolling 30-year stock returns differ depending on the starting point.Why are stocks likely to outperform bonds over the next 30 years.What is sequence of return risk.What is market timing.Why long-term … [Read more...]
280 Plus: Will the U.S. Stock Market Continue to Outperform Next Decade?
In Plus episode 280 for the week of December 14, 2019, we review the performance of the global stock market over the past decade and consider the factors that led the U.S. to significantly outperform the rest of the world. Then we consider what has to happen for that outperformance to continue. We also review the recent announcement by UBS to exchange a number of its exchange-traded notes for a new series. This includes the ETRACS Alerian MLP Index ETN (AMU). We consider the ramifications of … [Read more...]
271: Financial Independence Is a Choice
Why true financial independence means eliminating financial vulnerability including not being overly reliant on stock market appreciation. In this podcast episode you’ll learn: What does it mean to be financially vulnerable.What are the two paths to financial independence.Why we shouldn't stake our financial independence and early retirement on the historical performance of stocks and bonds.What are the rules of thumb we can use to develop reasonable assumptions for … [Read more...]
Investing Rule One: Avoid Ruin
How reducing exposure to a catastrophic event, such as running out of money during retirement, is a better strategy than trying to accurately predict a catastrophic event. In this episode you’ll learn: How repeated exposures to low probability events can lead to ruin. How bonds have outperformed stocks over long stretches of time . How the success of retirement spending rules depend on the market environment and why a flexible approach to retirement spending makes the most … [Read more...]