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You are here: Home / Podcast / 424: Are More Bank Runs Coming? The Collapse of Silicon Valley Bank

424: Are More Bank Runs Coming? The Collapse of Silicon Valley Bank

March 15, 2023 by David Stein · Updated April 10, 2023

What caused Silicon Valley Bank to collapse in only 44 hours, and how likely will the contagion spread leading to other bank failures?

Colorful building with clear sky. Caption says "Silicon Valley Bank"

Topics covered include:

  • How losses on bonds blew up SVB’s balance sheet
  • How is Silicon Valley Bank similar and different than other regional banks
  • What the FDIC and Federal Reserve are trying do to restore confidence and stop bank runs
  • How a weakening of the Frank-Dodd bank regulation act set the stage for SVB’s failure
  • Why bailing out uninsured depositors is controversial
  • Three scenarios of what might happen next
  • Actions we can take to protect ourselves when private money fails

Show Notes

Silicon Valley Bank launches $2.25bn share sale to shore up capital base by Joshua Franklin and Antoine Gara—The Financial Times

US Bank Capital Regulation: History and Changes Since the Financial Crisis by John Walter—Economic Quarterly

SVB’s 44-Hour Collapse Was Rooted in Treasury Bets During the Pandemic by Brian Chappatta—Bloomberg

Remarks by FDIC Chairman Martin Gruenberg at the Institute of International Bankers—FDIC

How Silicon Valley Turned on Silicon Valley Bank by Ben Foldy, Rachel Louise Ensign, and Justin Baer—The Wall Street Journal

SEC Filings Details—Silicon Valley Bank

FDIC Creates a Deposit Insurance National Bank of Santa Clara to Protect Insured Depositors of Silicon Valley Bank, Santa Clara, California—FDIC

Uninsured Silicon Valley Bank depositors seek fire sale of assets by Joshua Franklin, Sujeet Indap, Colby Smith, and George Hammond—The Financial Times

Join Statement by Treasury, Federal Reserve, and FDIC—Federal Reserve

FDIC Acts to Protect All Depositors of the former Silicon Bank, Santa Clara, California—FDIC

US regulators are setting a dangerous precedent on SVB by Sheila Bair—The Financial Times

Back-to-Back Bank Collapses Came After Deregulatory Push by David Enrich—The New York Times

Will another bank fall? by Robert Armstrong—The Financial Times

Shares in US regional banks close sharply lower over fears of deposit flight by Jennifer Hughes, James Fontanella-Khan, Ortenca Aliaj, and Brooke Masters—The Financial Times

Charles Schwab shares drop 12% even as the firm defends financial position by Yun Li—CNBC

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Transcript

Welcome to Money for the Rest of Us. This is a personal finance show on money, how it works, how to invest it, and how to live without worrying about it. I’m your host, David Stein. Today’s episode, 424. It’s titled “Are More Bank Runs Coming? The Collapse of Silicon Valley Bank.”

How the Silicon Valley Bank Crisis Unfolded

Last Wednesday, March 8th, I saw a Financial Times piece that SVB Financial, the holding company for Silicon Valley Bank, planned to raise $2.2 billion through new stock issuance. The purpose was to replenish capital that it had lost after selling $2 billion of US Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities. 

These were bonds the bank was forced to sell to meet deposit withdrawals from its customers, but also because Moody’s Investors Service was threatening to downgrade SVBs debt rating due to the large amount of unrealized losses on its bond portfolio.

Silicon Valley Bank offers a variety of banking financial products. Greg Becker, who is the CEO or was the CEO of SVB Financial, just a week earlier, at a conference in Los Angeles said, “We pride ourselves on being the best financial partner in the most challenging times.” 

Silicon Valley Bank has always had a very close relationship with venture capitalists and startups. For example, I’m invested in some private capital fund-of-funds through my old firm. 

I’ve invested in six funds over the last decade or so, and those funds in turn have invested in 150 other funds that were sponsored by venture capitalists, leveraged buyout managers, and real estate.

One-third of those underlying funds use Silicon Valley Bank for wire transfers, to handle the capital calls and distributions. And their underlying portfolio companies use Silicon Valley Bank.

SVB Financial’s Balance Sheet

If you pull up the year-end financial statements, the annual report, or 10k for SVB Financial, what you’ll see is it had $211 billion in assets, and 120 billion of those assets were investment securities. Some were listed as available for sale, and some were held to maturity securities. 

Since 1993 financial companies and other companies, if a security such as a bond is going to be held until it matures, it doesn’t have to be marked to market. You don’t have to put the actual value based on the fluctuations of interest rates. 

SVB has $91 billion of these held to maturity securities, but their fair value based on interest rate was $76.1 billion. So there was approaching $20 billion of unrealized losses on those bonds. The available for sale securities was $26 billion, and their cost basis was $28.6 billion dollars. So there was a $2 billion loss embedded in that.

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Filed Under: Podcast Tagged With: bank failures, bank runs, banks, FDIC, Federal Reserve

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