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You are here: Home / Podcast / 7: Predicting The Economy and the Stock Market – Can It Be Done?

7: Predicting The Economy and the Stock Market – Can It Be Done?

June 5, 2014 by David Stein · Updated October 19, 2021

Every investor has three choices. They can ignore the future, predict the future, or react as the future unfolds into the present. In this podcast, we’ll take a close look at each of these strategies and what it takes to be successful at each one.

2000horse

You’ll learn:

  1. The impenetrable wall every investor faces.
  2. Why futurists in 1900 thought horses would become extinct.
  3. Why it’s easier to predict what will not change versus what will.
  4. The three ways to invest.
  5. How to tell if the economy is likely to enter a recession using purchaser managers indicies (PMI’s)
  6. How buy and hold investing is like riding a roller coaster.
  7. How to invest on the leading edge of the present.
  8. Renowned British economist John Maynard Keynes’ prediction in 1930 that we would only work 3 hours a day within 100 years.
  9. What Keynes got right about his prediction of the future and what he got wrong.
  10. Preview of episode 8, what would happen to the economy and the stock market if everyone worked only three hours a day?

Show Notes

Ladies Home Journal article by John Elfreth Watkins, Jr. – What May Happen in the Next Hundred Years.

John Maynard Keynes talk – Economic Possibilities for Our Grandchildren

Great free source for PMI data – Markit PMI Press Releases

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