What we can monitor and do now in preparation for a 2030s depression, which may or may not arrive. Topics covered include: Why ITR Economics has been predicting a 2030s depression for over a decade. What are the early warning signs we can monitor for increasing risk of economic and financial turmoil What are U.S. and global population predictions by the Congressional Budget Office and the United Nations What is the status of Social Security and what would it take to make … [Read more...]
486: How Retail Traders Lose Big While Enriching Wall Street
Gambling in the stock market is increasing, with most traders losing money while generating billions of dollars per year for brokerages and wholesalers. Will all this trading lead to big market swoons? Topics covered include: Why sports gambling has grown so much How gambling in the stock market is measured, and how prevalent is it Why most traders lose money but continue to trade anyway How uninformed traders improve market liquidity and encourage trading by informed … [Read more...]
485: Should You Invest in Defined Outcome (Buffer) ETFs?
Buffer ETFs protect against the downside while capping the upside. We examine them closely to see if they are worth it. Topics covered include: How buffer ETFs are structured and some current examples How buffer ETFs have performed over the past five years What are the risks of buffer ETFs How loss aversion and narrow framing contribute to the popularity of buffer ETFs Are buffer ETFs worth it and what are some alternative strategies that could be used instead Show … [Read more...]
483: Don’t Lose Access to Your Cash: Comparing Banks, Neobanks, and Fintech Platforms for Cash Savings
Millions of fintech app users have lost access to their cash. In this episode, we explain why this happened and show you how to protect yourself when placing cash with traditional banks, neobanks, and fintech platforms. Topics covered include: The mass chaos in the fintech space spawned by the bankruptcy of Synapse Financial Technologies What are FBO accounts, and why they are so troublesome What is the difference between a traditional bank, a neo bank, and a non-bank What to … [Read more...]
482: Unlocking the Power of Positive Skewness: Strategies for Investing, Business, and Creativity
How a few high-impact successes drive up overall average outcomes in investing, business, and creative projects. How to harness positive skewness using a barbell approach. Learn when to mitigate risks and when to embrace them. Topics covered include: What is positive skewness and how does it manifest in investing, business and creative endeavors How power laws and the 80/20 rule work Why we shouldn't beat ourselves up if we aren't incredibly successful When should we reduce … [Read more...]
481: How to Navigate the Crippling Home Insurance Crisis
Why are homeowners seeing home insurance premiums increases of up to 70%, as David has? What can you do if your insurer drops you, you get a huge premium increase, or you can no longer afford coverage? Topics covered include: What are the primary drivers of home insurance price increases Why these increases don't show up in the U.S. consumer price index How the reinsurance market works and why reinsurers are passing on 50% premium increases to property and casualty … [Read more...]
480: Beyond Faster (T+1) Trade Settlement: The Hidden Costs of Optimization
Why stock, ETF, and bond trades are optimized to settle in less than a day, allowing investors quicker access to their cash and securities. What are the benefits and costs of optimization in the relentless drive for cheaper, faster, and more profitable. Topics covered include: Why countries are moving to T+1 settlement from T+2 for security trades What will it take for security trades to settle immediately How BlackRock and Franklin have launched Treasury funds that are … [Read more...]
479: National Debt Master Class Finale – What To Do
In part three of our national debt masterclass, we share a simple debt dynamics formula we can monitor to help guide our investment choices. Topics covered include: How much has the national debt grown over the past fifties years, and what are the underlying drivers How the budget deficit, interest rates, and economic growth determine the level and growth in the national debt Under what circumstances will the U.S. default on its debt How should we invest to protect ourselves … [Read more...]
478: National Debt Master Class Part 2/3
In part two of this series, we explore how households, businesses, and banks can opt out of the national debt scheme. We also examine how central banks and governments monetize debt with quantitative easing. Show Notes Credit and Liquidity Programs and the Balance Sheet: Federal Reserve liabilities—Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System As of and for the Years Ended December 31, 2019 and 2018 and Independent Auditors’ Report—The United States Federal Reserve … [Read more...]
National Debt Master Class Part 1/3
In part one of this three-part series, we consider why a country that issues debt in its own currency can't default unless it chooses to. We also explore how central banks can control interest rates on the national debt and whether it is possible for government borrowing to crowd out the private sector. Show Notes Money In The Modern Economy: An Introduction—Bank of England – Q1 2014 Money Creation In The Modern Economy—Bank of England – Q1 2014 Congressional Budget Office … [Read more...]
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