Stocks that grow their dividends have outperformed non-dividend-paying stocks over the long-term, but not in the past 5, 10, and 20 years. Why are non-dividend paying stocks outperforming dividend growers, and will it continue? Topics covered include: What message do companies say when they initiate, grow, or cut their dividend What is dividend smoothing How have dividend payers performed relative to non-dividend payers Why have non-dividend payers, which are primarily … [Read more...]
465: Transforming Financial Regrets into Portfolio Gains: Five Strategies for Navigating Investment Emotions
Humans are wired to feel regret. Here's how to learn from financial regret to become a better investor. Topics covered include: What cognitive biases make feelings of financial regret unavoidable We analyze two regret case studies - one from David and one from a Plus member Why do we avoid big regrets but manage through small ones Five cognitive tricks to help manage financial regrets Show Notes Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the … [Read more...]
464: More Ways to Lock in Higher Yields in Case Interest Rates Fall
Professional investors and other market participants are lousy at forecasting interest rates. Here are three more options to lock in higher yields today. Topics covered include: The risk of buying long-term bonds and ETFs to benefit from falling yields How volatility drag has impacted a long-term bond ETF like TLT Why interest rates won't go up just because the government issues more bonds How CDs, fixed annuities, and zero-coupon bonds work We compare and contrast the … [Read more...]
463: How to Lock in Higher Yields in Case Interest Rates Fall
With cash yields expected to fall, here's how you can keep your portfolio income elevated by purchasing longer-term individual bonds and bullet ETFs Topics covered include: How future short-term interest rates, inflation expectations, and term premiums impact long-term interest rates How each of those rate drivers contributed to the close to 1% drop in interest rates in the past three months How yield to maturity is our guide to locking in a fixed return using individual bonds … [Read more...]
462: Now Should You Buy a Bitcoin ETF?
We explore reasons for buying Bitcoin using one of the new Bitcoin ETFs. We also consider the risks. Topics covered include: Why the SEC finally decided to approve spot Bitcoin ETFs What are the fees and structure of these new Bitcoin ETFs How Bitcoin is similar and different from the fiat money system Where Bitcoin fits in an investment portfolio Show Notes Statement on the Approval of Spot Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Products by Chair Gary Gensler—SEC Coinbase … [Read more...]
461: How Much Should Your Net Worth Grow Each Year?
The intricate dance between profession, risk, lifestyle, and luck in determining how net worth grows. Topics covered include: The various factors that shape the growth of net worth, including professional choices, risk tolerance, and lifestyle decisions. David Stein's personal account of how these elements influenced the trajectory of his financial growth. Insights into the range of net worth increases observed in 2023, driven by the performance of financial markets. The … [Read more...]
460: Should You Be Invested 100% in Stocks Before and During Retirement? A Recent Study Says Yes.
The pros and cons of investing your retirement assets 100% in equity, including half in international stocks. Why the 4% spending rule is too aggressive. Topics covered include: Why historical asset class return studies that use only U.S. data are biased How researchers build a broader database to study retirement outcomes and spending rates How a 100% stock portfolio performed compared to balanced portfolios and target date funds Why investors should have half their assets … [Read more...]
458: Dissecting Stock Returns: Financial Engineering or Genuine Growth?
Do the impressive returns in public and private markets stem from strategic financial engineering or reflect actual economic growth? Topics covered include: How corporate profit growth is linked to economic growth, even though corporate profits are more volatile How interest rates, tax rates, and stock buybacks influence corporate profits and stock returns Why there are fewer publicly traded stocks How the increase in leveraged buyouts has impacted the economy How private … [Read more...]
457: AI’s Fork in the Road: Societal Bliss or Existential Threat
One year after the release of ChatGPT, we explore the positive and negative paths AI could take and what individuals can do to assist with a positive outcome. Topics covered include: How David uses AI to increase his personal productivity The societal and economic impacts of AI, including its potential to enhance corporate profitability and individual productivity Changes at OpenAI's executive level are examined, highlighting a shift in the organization's direction and … [Read more...]
456: Is Tourism Harmful or Helpful? The Economic and Cultural Impact of Global Travel
What are the economic and cultural benefits of tourism. What are the downsides to too much tourism. How to find the right balance. Topics covered include: How short-term rentals have changed tourism How cities grapple with too many short-term rentals What is the outlook for short-term rentals How much does tourism contribute to economic output How can tourism be harmful and helpful The example of Cuba Show Notes International tourism revenue, percent of GDP - … [Read more...]
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