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You are here: Home / Archives for bubbles

486 Plus: Callable Bonds, U.S. AI Stock Bubble, Robinhood, and Crypto Taxes

July 20, 2024 by David Stein · Updated July 27, 2024

In Plus episode 486, we review how to estimate expected returns when a fund or ETF holds callable bonds. We consider two questions from members worried about high valuations for the U.S. stock market. We discuss the long-term viability of Robinhood. Finally, we discuss ways to reduce the tax headache of owning cryptocurrency. … [Read more...]

Filed Under: Money Plus Tagged With: AI, asset bubbles, bubbles, callable bonds, cryptocurrency, Robinhood, stock valuations, taxes, yield to worst

371 Plus: The Market Sell-off and Two Tactical Asset Allocation Services

January 22, 2022 by David Stein · Updated January 29, 2022

In Plus Episode 371, we review some recent commentary by Jeremy Grantham on superbubbles as it relates to the current stock market sell-off. We also review Allocate Smartly and Hedgeye, two model portfolio and tactical asset allocation services. … [Read more...]

Filed Under: Uncategorized Tagged With: Allocate Smartly, asset bubbles, bubbles, Grantham (Jeremy), Hedgeye, tactical asset allocation

365: Why Some Asset Bubbles Don’t Burst

November 10, 2021 by David Stein · Updated November 22, 2021

What conditions need to be in place for an asset bubble to continue and how that applies to stocks, cryptocurrency, and houses. Topics covered include: How to determine if there is an asset bubbleWhat are microbubbles and anti-bubblesHow the cannabis stock bubble burstWhat is required to sustain an asset bubbleHow the current runup in home prices differs from the housing bubble in the mid-2000sWhat structural changes have led to the high valuations for U.S. stocksWhat is the Great … [Read more...]

Filed Under: Podcast Tagged With: asset bubbles, bubbles, index funds, indexing, indexing bubble, stock market

339 Plus: Mid Month Update, Bond Valuations, and a Cannabis Bubble Follow Up

April 23, 2021 by David Stein · Updated June 26, 2021

In Plus episode 339 for the week of April 23, 2021, we look at the latest economic releases to assess investment conditions. We answer a member's question on what does it mean when pundits say bonds are expensive and how is that determined. Finally, we look at how cannabis stocks performed three years after the peak of the 2018 cannabis bubble. … [Read more...]

Filed Under: Uncategorized Tagged With: bond valuations, bubbles, cannabis stocks, marijuana stocks

329: Meme Stocks, GameStop, Short Squeezes, and Bubbles

January 27, 2021 by David Stein · Updated December 24, 2022

How coordinated buying by retail investors has turned the tables on Wall Street. Are there signs of a market bubble? Topics covered include: What are meme stocks Why GameStop's stock (GME) has soared to over $300 from $17 in less than a month What are short squeezes and gamma squeezes and how they can push up a stock price How short-sellers including hedge funds are losing big against individual investors on the wallstreetbets subreddit Is coordinated buying of options and … [Read more...]

Filed Under: Podcast Tagged With: asset bubbles, bubbles, GameStop, gamma squeeze, GME, Klarman (Seth), meme stocks, regulations, securities regulation, short selling, short squeeze

315: Are We Being Forced to Buy Stocks?

September 23, 2020 by David Stein · Updated March 29, 2021

How ultra-low interest rates support higher stock market valuations but also make the investment environment more challenging. Is there a stock market bubble? Topics covered include: How expensive are stocks on an absolute basis and relative to bondsWhat are examples of individual investor enthusiasm for stocksWhy stock valuations and prices increase when interest rates fallWhy lower interest rates making it more difficult for central banks to support stocks during a downturnWhy TIPs … [Read more...]

Filed Under: Podcast Tagged With: asset bubbles, bubbles, deglobalization, present value, stock valuations, stocks

234: Index But Don’t Herd

December 18, 2018 by David Stein · Updated June 8, 2022

How and when to use passive indexing strategies without following the crowd. Photo by Davide Ragusa In this episode you’ll learn: How big is indexing and why has it taken so long to catch on.What areas has active management done well.What are ways we can index without following the crowd. Show Notes Jeffrey Gundlach says passive investing has reached a 'mania' – investors should avoid index funds - CNBC Passive investing continues to captivate global audience - … [Read more...]

Filed Under: Podcast Tagged With: active vs passive investing, asset bubbles, Bogle (John C.), bubbles, FAANG stocks, fees, index funds, indexes, indexing, indexing bubble, passive investing

226: How To Spot Asset Bubbles and What To Do About Them

October 17, 2018 by David Stein · Updated November 10, 2021

What are the characteristics of an asset bubble and how to invest when one exists. Are cannabis stocks in a bubble? Photo by Rick Proctor In this episode you’ll learn: How actions of investors determine whether there is a bubbleWhy cannabis stocks could be in a bubble.How to invest when there is a bubble and manage the fear of missing out. Show Notes Why Marijuana Stocks Cronos Group, Canopy Growth, and Tilray Jumped Today - The Motley Fool Yes. It's A Bubble. … [Read more...]

Filed Under: Podcast, Uncategorized Tagged With: asset bubbles, bubbles, cannabis stocks, marijuana stocks, Research Affiliates

182: Was Tulipmania Just Like Bitcoin?

November 22, 2017 by David Stein · Updated May 27, 2021

What caused tulip mania in the 17th century in the Netherlands and how is it similar to Bitcoin? Photo by Andrean Valeanu In this episode you’ll learn: Why discretionary income is needed for a mania to occur.Why the tulip trade was one of the first futures market.How much were speculators paying for tulip bulbs at the top of the market.What was the impact of the tulip bulb crash.How Bitcoin is like tulipmania. Show Notes JPMorgan's Dimon says bitcoin is a fraud that will … [Read more...]

Filed Under: Podcast Tagged With: Bitcoin, bubbles, cryptocurrency, futures, manias, regret, tulipmania

163: Is There An Indexing Bubble?

June 28, 2017 by David Stein · Updated May 27, 2021

How an indexing bubble is manifest, why most active managers underperform and how individuals can structure their own quasi index fund that outperforms the market. Photo by Sebastian Pichler In this episode you’ll learn: How popular is indexing.Why mathematically do active managers underperform.How to outperform a capitalization weighted index.How to build your own quasi index fund. Show Notes The 25 Largest Mutual Funds and ETFs - MarketWatch The Makeup of the S&P 500 … [Read more...]

Filed Under: Podcast Tagged With: active vs passive investing, bubbles, indexing, indexing bubble, passive investing, Sharpe (William F.)

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