In Plus episode 525, we analyze the risk of the Trump Administration banning U.S. citizens and entities from owning Chinese-listed stocks, including stocks held in ETFs and mutual funds. We also discuss two papers by AQR Capital Management on U.S. versus non-U.S. stock returns. … [Read more...]
461 Plus: Updated Expected Returns, Index Rebalancing, and Portfolio Questions
In Plus episode 461, we review the changes to the Money for the Rest of Us Plus expected return assumptions and discuss the resources available on the site for modeling portfolios using the return assumptions. We answer a question on how stock index providers, such as S&P, handle share count changes for determining the weighting of a holding within the index. Finally, David answers some questions on his portfolio, including a review of the asset category ranges he has had for the past … [Read more...]
445 Plus: More on Estimating Bond Fund Returns and Spin-Off Investing
In Plus episode 445, we reference an academic study as we try to better explain why the starting yield to maturity is a good estimate of a bond fund's or ETF's annualized return if the holding period is long enough. We also explore spin-off investing in which a parent company divests a division or subsidiary. We review how the parent and child companies perform. … [Read more...]
416 Plus: Updated Expected Return Assumptions, Will the Dollar Stay Strong, and More on Dollar Cost Averaging
In Plus Episode 416, we review the methodology Money For the Rest of Us uses to develop expected returns for different asset classes. We review the latest expected returns and how they differ from six months ago. We discuss dollar cost averaging in the face of a potential recession. Finally, we discuss whether we should consider the current level of the dollar when investing outside of the U.S. … [Read more...]
414 Plus: Emerging Markets Latin America Stocks, Bank Safety and Investing Lump Sums
In Plus episode 414, we review the current valuations of Latin American stocks, deconstruct historical performance, and develop estimates for returns over the next decade. We review ETFs for investing in Latin American stocks and consider the risks. We also review how to decide if a high-yield savings account at a bank is safe and how to be protected. Finally, we review investing a lump sum payment all at once or dollar cost averaging. … [Read more...]
391 Plus: Adaptive Model Portfolio Changes, Updated Return and Risk Assumptions, and the Peak Housing REIT
In Plus episode 391, we review the recent adaptive model portfolio changes to reduce equity exposure and lower credit risk in the bond portfolio. We introduce the new expected return and risk assumptions and address some member questions. Finally, we answer a member's question about selling a single-family rental home and rolling the proceeds into the Peak Housing REIT. … [Read more...]
388 Plus: Expected Return Update, Direct Indexing, Strengthening Yen, and Two TIPS CEFs
In Plus Episode 388, we look at how Money For the Rest of Us is seeking to improve its process for estimating long-term asset class returns. We analyze the two new direct indexing offerings from Schwab and Fidelity. We consider whether purchasing Japanese stocks when the yen is weak has led Japanese stocks to outperform the rest of the world as the yen strengthens. Finally, we analyze two closed-end funds that invest in Treasury Inflation Protection Securities (WIA and WIW). … [Read more...]
369: Listener Q&A 2
We answer listeners' questions on a variety of financial topics to close out the year. Topics covered include: Estimating financial market returns in the next thirty years Investing in art Whether stocks will no longer exist How to start investing Fidelity's new Bitcoin ETF How mutual funds are priced How to teach family members about investing Volatility versus drawdowns How to face the uncertainty of crashing stocks, rising interest rates, and numerous other … [Read more...]
366 Plus: Updated Expected Returns, a New Real Estate Investment, and the Vanguard Managed Allocation Fund
This week on Plus Episode 366, we review the changes to the 10-year expected returns for different asset classes used in the Money For the Rest of Us Plus asset allocation model. We discuss a hotel investment David recently made on the Crowdstreet platform. Finally, we review the Vanguard Managed Allocation Fund (VPGDX). … [Read more...]
347 Plus: A New Actively Managed Preferred ETF and Three Pillars of Stock Returns
In Plus Episode 347, we review recent portfolio changes David made to his portfolio. We introduce the new retirement spending calculator. We analyze the new Fidelity Preferred Securities and Income ETF (FPFD), and we review an article by Mark Hulbert on the three pillars that have contributed to above average U.S. stock returns. … [Read more...]
