In Plus episode 271 for the week of October 4, 2019 we review the purpose of the model portfolios and recent changes in David's portfolios. We look at the performance of preferred stock in down markets. Finally, we review Vanguard's expected returns for the next decade. … [Read more...]
271: Financial Independence Is a Choice
Why true financial independence means eliminating financial vulnerability including not being overly reliant on stock market appreciation. In this podcast episode you’ll learn: What does it mean to be financially vulnerable.What are the two paths to financial independence.Why we shouldn't stake our financial independence and early retirement on the historical performance of stocks and bonds.What are the rules of thumb we can use to develop reasonable assumptions for … [Read more...]
229: Stop Maximizing Your Returns Using Modern Portfolio Theory
Why modern portfolio theory is a defective way to build out an investment portfolio. This episode explains a better approach to asset allocation. In this episode you’ll learn: What are the inputs needed to compile an asset allocation using modern portfolio theory.What are the defects with modern portfolio theory.Why we should be minimizing our maximum regret rather than maximizing our returns.A more flexible approach to asset allocation that isn't reliant on modern … [Read more...]
204: Why Are Investment Returns So Low?
How low real interest rates contribute to low returns for stocks and other risk assets. How real interest rates are determined. Photo by Markus Spiske In this episode you’ll learn: How global stocks and bonds have performed historically.How real interest rates are predictive of asset class returns.How real interest rates are determined.Why low real rates suggest asset class returns will continue to be low. Show Notes NACUBO-Commonfund Study of Endowments Credit Suisse … [Read more...]
201: Is Your Portfolio Unbalanced?
Why most conventional portfolios make huge and often unintended bets on the stock market. How role-based investing can lead to a more balanced portfolio. Photo by Mangrove Mike In this episode you’ll learn: Why asset class returns and volatility are driven by changing expectations.How most investors are making a huge bet in stocks even though they might not be aware of it.The benefit and challenges of holding assets that perform well during various economic regimes.Why … [Read more...]
197 Plus: 30 Year Returns, Mortgages and Beating the Lottery
This week March 24, 2018, we answer the questions should expected returns for stocks be higher if one has a time horizon of 30 years versus 10? We also answer a member's question on whether he should fund a higher down payment for his new house from his bond portfolio. Finally, we look at a couple that retired and earned millions by systematically playing and winning the lottery over a period of years. … [Read more...]
MNY145 Plus: REITs, Quantitative Tightening, and Peer-to-peer Lending
This week February 18, 2017 on Money For the Rest of Us Plus we look at an example of how not to estimate REIT returns. We also explore the potential impact as the Federal Reserve reduces the size of its balance sheet. We explore peer-to-peer lending using Lending Loop. Finally, we answer whether one can lose money indexing and how to dollar cost average into portfolios. … [Read more...]
MNY105 Plus: Expected Stock Returns and Activist Investing
This week on Money For the Rest of Us Plus we review McKinsey Global Institute's recent report on expected stock market returns and compare it to the return assumptions on the Hub. We also look at how successful activist investors have been in their quest to boost returns by initiating changes in strategy and management in their target companies. Finally, I answer some follow up questions on implementing model portfolios. The episode length is 18 minutes. … [Read more...]