Recently, the yield on the 30-year government bond in Germany went negative for the first time ever. Now there are 15 trillion dollars of bonds around the world, about 25% of the world’s bond supply that are priced so they earn a negative yield. That effectively means that investors are paying someone to hold their money. That there’s a cost to actually investing. The Math Behind Negative Yielding Bonds Most bonds that have a negative yield were not issued with a negative interest … [Read more...]
204: Why Are Investment Returns So Low?
How low real interest rates contribute to low returns for stocks and other risk assets. How real interest rates are determined. Photo by Markus Spiske In this episode you’ll learn: How global stocks and bonds have performed historically.How real interest rates are predictive of asset class returns.How real interest rates are determined.Why low real rates suggest asset class returns will continue to be low. Show Notes NACUBO-Commonfund Study of Endowments Credit Suisse … [Read more...]
128: Is There Too Much Savings?
How holding onto goods longer before replacing them and a global savings glut impact the economy, interest rates and stock returns. Photo by Adam Wilson In this episode you'll learn: How a cartel and planned obsolescence impacted the lifespan of incandescent bulbs.Why consumers are holding on to their items longer and how that impacts the economy.How a global savings glut pushes down interest rates and what is causing it.How Treasury Inflation Protections Securities … [Read more...]