In Plus Episode 395, we analyze the U.S. Q2 GDP report, and other leading economic indicators to assess recession risk. Then we discuss what if anything investors should do. Next, we discuss the changes David made this past week to reduce risk and simplify his portfolio structure. … [Read more...]
383: How to Be a Successful Contrarian Investor
How contrarians combine value and momentum to take positions opposite what the consensus believes. What is the consensus view in today's financial markets and how are contrarians positioned. Topics covered include: Five attributes of successful investorsWhy does the consensus expect stagflationHow central banks have performed in previous tightening cyclesThree reasons central banks tightening results in a recessionWhen have interest rates peaked in prior tightening cyclesHow stocks … [Read more...]
310: Why the Stock Market and Economy Are Rebounding So Quickly
How the current global recession differs from the Great Financial Crisis and why the recession is probably over. Topics covered include: Why the current recession has no debt and banking crisisWhy lower-income workers are disproportionally harmed by the current recessionHow the federal government and central bank responses differed between the current recession and the 2008–09 recession.Do increased unemployment benefits disincentivize workersWhy the recession is probably over but it … [Read more...]