In Plus episode 495, we explore why the Chinese stock market has gained 15% this month. We review the latest leading economic indicators to assess U.S. and global recession risk. Finally, we touch on fractional share ownership. … [Read more...]
395 Plus: Is the U.S. in a Recession? and David’s Recent Portfolio Changes
In Plus Episode 395, we analyze the U.S. Q2 GDP report, and other leading economic indicators to assess recession risk. Then we discuss what if anything investors should do. Next, we discuss the changes David made this past week to reduce risk and simplify his portfolio structure. … [Read more...]
246: What Central Banks Don’t Know Should Concern You
Why an inverted yield curve is disconcerting given such low interest rates. Why those low rates could lead to radical central bank policies during the next recession. In this episode you’ll learn: What is an inverted yield curve and does it signal a recession is coming.What determines interest rates.What is the neutral equilibrium real rate of interest and why it matters.Why is the Federal Reserve considering make up strategies that allow inflation to rise up its 2% target and what … [Read more...]
185 Plus: Mortgage REITs, Inverted Yield Curve, and TIPS
This week December 16, 2017 on Money For the Rest of Us Plus, we answer a member's question on where to invest new IRA deposits. We look at the remarkable success of an inverted yield curve at predicting recessions. We explore investing in mortgage REITs both through their common shares, preferred shares or through a levered exchange traded note. Finally, we analyze why Treasury Protection Securities have underperformed traditional fixed income and what are expectations over the next … [Read more...]
