We examine three factors that contributed to this week's big stock market declines, analyze whether a recession is imminent, and examine David's recent portfolio changes. Topics covered include: The benefits of looking at market and economic trends monthly How bad was the recent U.S. employment report and what is the Sahm Rule What are leading economic indicators saying about recession risk Why the Federal Reserve will be lowering its policy rate, leading to lower cash … [Read more...]
253 Plus: Persistence of Stock Market Losses and Investing in Russia versus India
In Plus episode 253 for the week of May 25, 2019, we revisit how frequently stock market losses occur, how likely they are to become more severe and how long does it take to recover from market losses. We review the impact of the recent India election results and then compare the Russian economy and stock market to India. … [Read more...]
191 Plus: Market Sell-Offs and Emotional Investors
This week February 10, 2018 on Money For the Rest of Us Plus, we look at how frequently market corrections occur. We analyze how the current sell-off has impacted market internals, such as trend, momentum and the level of fear. Then we look at fundamental data such as earnings and inflation to see if there has been any deterioration to justify further market declines. We look at data from Jack Bogle's expected stock market return model to see that over a 10-year period the stock market … [Read more...]
