In this episode, we explore what it means to invest in a non-ergodic world—where time, not averages, determines outcomes. We unpack concepts like volatility drag, ensemble vs. time averages, and the implications for portfolio strategy, while also reflecting on how AI and zero-click search are reshaping business and investor behavior. Topics covered include: What is ergodicity and why it matters How path dependency and emerging phenomena disrupt the long-term How podcasting and … [Read more...]
460: Should You Be Invested 100% in Stocks Before and During Retirement? A Recent Study Says Yes.
The pros and cons of investing your retirement assets 100% in equity, including half in international stocks. Why the 4% spending rule is too aggressive. Topics covered include: Why historical asset class return studies that use only U.S. data are biased How researchers build a broader database to study retirement outcomes and spending rates How a 100% stock portfolio performed compared to balanced portfolios and target date funds Why investors should have half their assets … [Read more...]
458: Dissecting Stock Returns: Financial Engineering or Genuine Growth?
Do the impressive returns in public and private markets stem from strategic financial engineering or reflect actual economic growth? Topics covered include: How corporate profit growth is linked to economic growth, even though corporate profits are more volatile How interest rates, tax rates, and stock buybacks influence corporate profits and stock returns Why there are fewer publicly traded stocks How the increase in leveraged buyouts has impacted the economy How private … [Read more...]
455: Easier Investing, Richer Life: TIPS Ladders to Annuities
What are the pros and cons of partially funding retirement expenses with an inflation-indexed bond ladder versus an immediate annuity? There is a big downside to TIPS ladders that many investors don't realize. Topics covered include: Why the stock market is more risky than many people realize Is it too late to invest in TIPS as one advisor suggests How TIPS and TIPS ladders work How immediate annuities work The pros and cons of a TIPS ladder versus an immediate … [Read more...]
451: How Much Should You Invest in Stocks? The Art of Position Sizing in a Volatile Market
Our allocation to risky assets should vary based on the expected return, volatility, risk aversion, and how much we can earn risk-free. That means we should be taking less risk right now. Listen to learn why. Topics covered include: Why there are so few billionaires Why the hedge fund Long Term Capital Management imploded Why how much to invest is more important than where to invest How the Merton share formula can assist with determining what percent of our wealth to invest … [Read more...]
Why You Should Rebalance Your Portfolio
What you need to know about rebalancing methods, timing, and the impacts of volatility ARTICLE TABLE OF CONTENTS (Skip to Section) Positive Skewness and Faulty EmotionsDon’t Let High Volatility Drag You DownWhen Rebalancing Becomes ImbalancedTiming Isn’t Everything Rebalance Your Portfolio the Way That’s Best for YouPodcast Episode 356: How, When, and Why Should You Rebalance Your Investment Portfolio by EMILY BOULTER & | Updated You know that your portfolio … [Read more...]
