In Plus Episode 403, we consider whether the current market volatility is normal compared to earlier periods of rising interest rates. We review the latest leading economic indicators to see if recession risk is rising. Finally, we discuss what factors to consider if deciding about selling longer-term bonds and investing in short-term bonds. … [Read more...]
246: What Central Banks Don’t Know Should Concern You
Why an inverted yield curve is disconcerting given such low interest rates. Why those low rates could lead to radical central bank policies during the next recession. In this episode you’ll learn: What is an inverted yield curve and does it signal a recession is coming.What determines interest rates.What is the neutral equilibrium real rate of interest and why it matters.Why is the Federal Reserve considering make up strategies that allow inflation to rise up its 2% target and what … [Read more...]
162: Is Inflation A Good Thing?
What causes inflation and why do central banks allow it to persist instead of having a 0% inflation target. Photo by Aaron Burden In this episode you’ll learn: How inflation erodes purchasing power over time.How money creation by banks causes inflation.What is the non accelerating inflation rate of unemployment.How shorter-term rates influence longer-term rates.Why central banks have inflation targets. Show Notes Did Quantitative Easing Work? - Federal Reserve Bank of … [Read more...]
