Why most households are in better financial shape than prior to the pandemic, but remain frustrated at their lack of economic progress. Topics covered include: How consumer sentiment surveys are designed and their current findings. Reasons behind consumer frustration with increasing prices amidst declining inflation rates. The magnitude of the inflation shock and its underlying causes. The concept of reference prices and their significant role in shaping consumer … [Read more...]
456 Plus: 4% Rule, TFLO, Personal Inflation Rates, Emerging Latin America, and GIM
In Plus episode 456, we explore how to apply retirement spending rules when real estate properties will be sold during retirement. We consider the risks of investing in the iShares Floating Rate Treasury ETF (TFLO). We answer a question about the hoopla surrounding Treasury Inflation Protection Securities. Why has David not purchased a dedicated Latin America Emerging Markets Stock ETF. Update on the Templeton Global Income Fund (GIM). … [Read more...]
429 Plus: Stocks and Inflation, Emerging Markets Bonds
In Plus episode 429, we consider how stocks perform during periods of high inflation by looking at the example of Argentina and a recent academic study on the topic. … [Read more...]
429: Which Inflation Protection Strategies Worked and Which Didn’t?
With a total U.S. inflation rate of 14% in the past two years, we review how various inflation hedges performed over the past twenty-four months. Topics covered include: What were investors' and the Federal Reserve's inflation expectations two years ago What led to the big inflation increase Why was the Federal Reserve forced to raise its policy rate by almost 5% in a year How successful were inflation-index bonds, stocks, commodities, and real estate in beating inflation … [Read more...]
403: The Pandemic Might Be “Over,” but Not Its Repercussions
How risk perceptions and actions have changed over several years of the pandemic. How the pandemic's impacts continue to affect politics, the economy, financial markets, how we invest, and our personal lives. Topics covered include: Is the pandemic really over? Based on what criteriaWhat percentage of people continue to isolate at homeHow behaviors such as eating out and visiting friends have changed throughout the pandemic.How work has changed with the pandemicHas pandemic stimulus … [Read more...]
400: What If High Inflation Doesn’t End?
How economic wars, pandemics, and worker shortages could lead to years of high structural inflation. What needs to happen to avoid this dire inflation scenario. Topics covered include: What are three inflation lessons shared by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome PowellWhat is inflation anchoringWhat caused the current period of high inflationHow China and Russia contributed to low inflation and why those trends have reversedHow behavior changes and productivity improvements can contribute to … [Read more...]
399 Plus: Student Loan Forgiveness and Inflation, Building a Bond Ladder, a New High Yield Savings Account Offering
In Plus episode 399, we introduce the new Money For the Rest of Us glossary. We consider whether the Biden Administration's move to cancel upwards of $600 billion in student loans will be inflationary. We discuss how to go about building a bond ladder. Finally, we analyze Save's new Market Savings Account. … [Read more...]
382: Is A Famine Next? Food Inflation, Food Riots, and Investing in Commodities and Other Real Things
Why food costs are soaring and what we can do about it. Why inflation rates could start to drop. Why commodity futures, including agriculture futures, have been lousy inflation hedges, and what has worked better. Topics covered include: Previous investment recommendations by Money For the Rest of Us to combat inflation Why commodity futures hedge against unexpected inflation but have underperformed inflation over the long-term A recommended ETF for investing in commodity … [Read more...]
378: Is Stagflation Coming?
Will the world experience both inflation and subpar economic growth at the same time? Topics covered include: What is inflation and what causes itWhat have been the largest contributors to recent high inflationWhy everyone does not experience inflation in the same wayWhy inflation measures are subjectiveWhat long-term deflationary forces face the global economyWhat is stagflation and what causes itHow do we monitor stagflation to see if it is coming Show Notes Consumer Price … [Read more...]
367: What Investment Strategies Do Best During High Inflation Periods?
How different asset classes and investment strategies have performed during periods of unexpectedly high inflation. While trend and momentum strategies have performed the best, what are some of the challenges with implementing those strategies. Topics covered include: What has led to today's high inflation environment and why it is uniqueHow current demographic and technology trends are disinflationaryHow many inflationary regimes have there been in the pastHow stocks, residential … [Read more...]
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