With a total U.S. inflation rate of 14% in the past two years, we review how various inflation hedges performed over the past twenty-four months. Topics covered include: Show Notes CPI Inflation Calculator—U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics Inflation Beneficiaries ETF—Horizon Kinetics Quadratic Capital Management Episode Sponsors Brooklinen Use code DAVID20 for $20 off plus free shipping Go to GetSunday.com/David to get a customized lawn plan and 20% off your Sunday … [Read more...]
403: The Pandemic Might Be “Over,” but Not Its Repercussions
How risk perceptions and actions have changed over several years of the pandemic. How the pandemic's impacts continue to affect politics, the economy, financial markets, how we invest, and our personal lives. Topics covered include: Is the pandemic really over? Based on what criteriaWhat percentage of people continue to isolate at homeHow behaviors such as eating out and visiting friends have changed throughout the pandemic.How work has changed with the pandemicHas pandemic stimulus … [Read more...]
400: What If High Inflation Doesn’t End?
How economic wars, pandemics, and worker shortages could lead to years of high structural inflation. What needs to happen to avoid this dire inflation scenario. Topics covered include: What are three inflation lessons shared by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome PowellWhat is inflation anchoringWhat caused the current period of high inflationHow China and Russia contributed to low inflation and why those trends have reversedHow behavior changes and productivity improvements can contribute to … [Read more...]
399 Plus: Student Loan Forgiveness and Inflation, Building a Bond Ladder, a New High Yield Savings Account Offering
In Plus episode 399, we introduce the new Money For the Rest of Us glossary. We consider whether the Biden Administration's move to cancel upwards of $600 billion in student loans will be inflationary. We discuss how to go about building a bond ladder. Finally, we analyze Save's new Market Savings Account. Become a Member If you would like to listen to this episode of Money For the Rest of Us Plus, you can do so by becoming a Money For the Rest of Us Plus member. Learn More About … [Read more...]
382: Is A Famine Next? Food Inflation, Food Riots, and Investing in Commodities and Other Real Things
Why food costs are soaring and what we can do about it. Why inflation rates could start to drop. Why commodity futures, including agriculture futures, have been lousy inflation hedges, and what has worked better. Topics covered include: Show Notes Ukraine War Threatens to Cause a Global Food Crisis by Jack Nicas—The New York Times Russia’s invasion of Ukraine is causing record-high food prices—The Economist As sanctions bite Russia, fertilizer shortage imperils world food … [Read more...]
378: Is Stagflation Coming?
Will the world experience both inflation and subpar economic growth at the same time? Topics covered include: What is inflation and what causes itWhat have been the largest contributors to recent high inflationWhy everyone does not experience inflation in the same wayWhy inflation measures are subjectiveWhat long-term deflationary forces face the global economyWhat is stagflation and what causes itHow do we monitor stagflation to see if it is coming Show Notes Consumer Price … [Read more...]
367: What Investment Strategies Do Best During High Inflation Periods?
How different asset classes and investment strategies have performed during periods of unexpectedly high inflation. While trend and momentum strategies have performed the best, what are some of the challenges with implementing those strategies. Topics covered include: What has led to today's high inflation environment and why it is uniqueHow current demographic and technology trends are disinflationaryHow many inflationary regimes have there been in the pastHow stocks, residential … [Read more...]
366: Is There A Global Energy Crisis?
With oil, natural gas, coal, and gasoline at the highest prices in eight years, we consider if there is an energy crisis due to an over-reliance on renewable energy sources. Topics covered include: How high have prices risen for oil, gasoline, natural gas, and coalWhy rising energy prices is a multifaceted problem as illustrated by coalHow the global energy mix has changed for power productionWhy investment capital is flowing to renewable energy projects rather than fossil fuel … [Read more...]
361 Plus: Closed-End Fund Tender Offers and Asset Class Returns During High Inflation Environments
In Plus Episode 361, we review the proxy battle that has led to a tender offer by Templeton Global Income Fund (GIM) to purchase up to 70% of its outstanding shares. We consider whether now is the time to sell the fund. We also review two studies on how different asset classes and investment strategies performed during periods of high inflation. Become a Member If you would like to listen to this episode of Money For the Rest of Us Plus, you can do so by becoming a Money For the Rest … [Read more...]
359: Why Are There So Many Shortages?
What is causing the shortage of goods and workers? What should we do about it? Topics covered include: How a tree pandemic killed billions of American Chestnut treesHow a massive increase in demand has crippled the global supply, leading to an eight-fold increase in shipping costsWhy there are so many job openings and people quitting their jobsWhy the free market doesn't work as well for child daycareHow stimulus payments during the pandemic reduced poverty ratesWhat is the lying flat … [Read more...]