As Baby Boomers continue to retire, some analysts expect financial markets to feel the strain. We examine whether demographic shifts truly shape stock and bond returns, or what other factors matter more. Topics covered include: Show Notes Zeihan Harry Dent Measuring the Natural Rate of Interest—Federal Reserve Bank of New York Distribution of Household Wealth in the U.S. since 1989—The Federal Reserve Episode Sponsors Gelt - Taxes Done Right Delete Me – Use … [Read more...]
542: Don’t Take Financial Advice from AI
A concerning example of how AI makes simple financial mistakes, and the right and wrong way to use AI to make financial decisions. Topics covered include: Show Notes What Kind of a “PhD-level Expert” Is ChatGPT 5.0? I Tested It. by Gary Smith—Mind Matters Top US Army General Says He’s Letting ChatGPT Make Military Decisions by Joe Wilkins—Futurism Why Language Models Hallucinate by Adam Tauman Kalai, Ofir Nachum, et al—Arxiv Auto Loan … [Read more...]
541: Debasement Fears or Meme Fever? What’s Driving the Gold and Silver Rally
Are gold and silver up more than 50% in 2025 because investors fear currency debasement, or is this rally just the latest meme trade? In this episode, we explore the supply and demand forces behind gold and silver, discuss investing strategies, and outline what to watch to see if investors truly are worried about debasement. Show Notes The Great Debasement Debate Is Rippling Across World Markets by Ruth Carson, Naomi Tajitsu, and Masaki Kondo—Bloomberg How long will gold mania … [Read more...]
540: Beyond Munis — New ETFs for Tax-Efficient Bond Investing
How to decide when to invest in municipal bonds versus new tax-efficient bond ETFs that don't invest in munis. We analyze several newer ETFs that earn bond-like returns while avoiding paying taxable income distributions. Investments mentioned: Show Notes US municipal bond defaults and recoveries, 1970-2022 by Moody's Investor Service—Fidelity Five Reasons Municipals Have Rarely Defaulted by Matthew Norton—Bernstein 470 Plus: Annuities Correction, Europe versus U.S. … [Read more...]
539: Resilient Wealth in an Era of Infinite Money
What happens when the money supply grows too slowly or too quickly? From gold-standard deflation to QE-driven inflation and inequality, we trace the lessons of monetary history, and what we can do today to protect ourselves in an age of infinite money. Topics covered include: Show Notes Distribution of Household Wealth in the U.S. since 1989—The Federal Reserve M2 (M2SL)—FRED Good Versus Bad Deflation: Lesson from the Gold Standard Era by Michael D. Bordo, John … [Read more...]
538: Forests, Fakes, and the Fight for the Real
From salmon leaping along the Vancouver Island coast to fake bands on Spotify, this episode explores the divide between the physical and digital economy, and what lumber markets, managed forests, and everyday life teach us about staying connected to the real. Topics covered include: Show Notes Lumber Prices Are Flashing a Warning Sign for the U.S. Economy by Ryan Dezember—The Wall Street Journal Lumber Price—Trading Economics J.Crew used A.I. to counterfeit their own … [Read more...]
537: Why Central Banking Is So Hard and Why Fed Independence Matters
Central bankers set policy with incomplete information, unobservable targets, and constant trade-offs between growth, inflation, and employment. In this episode, we delve into how the fight for Federal Reserve independence could impact markets, interest rates, and your financial future. Topics covered include: Show Notes 2025 Statement on Longer-Run Goals and Monetary Policy Strategy—The Federal Reserve Board Trump says U.S. interest rate is at least 3 points too … [Read more...]
536: How to Invest During a Bubble?
From the dot-com boom to today’s AI frenzy, bubbles follow a familiar script. This episode explores how to recognize them, what sustains them, and how to position your portfolio without getting swept up in the hype. Topics covered include: Show Notes I'm Changing How I Manage My Money Because of AI by Hank Green—YouTube % S&P 500 share of top 10 companies by market cap %—Apollo Academy Charted: S&P 500 Market Concentration Over 145 Years by Kayla Zhu—Visual … [Read more...]
535: Six Principles for Thriving Under Uncertainty and How Big Tech Is Doing the Opposite
A practical framework for making better decisions, managing risk, and finding opportunity in unpredictable environments. We contrast these principles with the massive $2.9 trillion AI data center build-out by Big Tech, which is betting big on a single superintelligence future. Show Notes Inside the relentless race for AI capacity—The Financial Times Inside the AI race: can data centres ever truly be green?—The Financial Times The Kanye/Data Center Crossover by Paul … [Read more...]
534: Why Most Hedge Funds Fail but This One Didn’t with Dave Thomas
Dave Thomas, CIO and Founder of long/short hedge fund, Atalan Capital Partners, shares why most hedge funds fail and the keys to being a long-term successful investor. Show Notes Hedging Risk, Accessing Opportunity with Dave Thomas—F.E.G. Insight Bridge Episode Sponsors Delete Me – Use code David20 to get 20% off Transcript Coming Soon … [Read more...]
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