410: Is Cryptocurrency Dead?
How the bankruptcy of FTX, the world's third-largest crypto exchange, undermines trust in cryptocurrency and decentralized finance, making it even more difficult for crypto to ever be taken seriously as a monetary alternative. Topics covered include: How FTX squandered its customers' deposits How FTX is another example of a private money bank run How traditional securities lending works and why it is very low risk compared to the highly speculative nature of cryptocurrency … [Read more...]
409: What Is the IMF and Why Is It Controversial?
How the International Monetary Fund, the world's economic firefighter, works for global monetary cooperation and prosperity while using its own made-up currency, the SDR. Topics covered include: What was the Bretton Woods monetary system that led to the formation of the IMF and the World Bank How the World Bank and IMF differ What does the IMF do How the IMF creates its own money out of thin air Why does Argentina, the IMF's largest borrower, keep defaulting on its debt … [Read more...]
408: Is Success Due to Hard Work, Talent, or Luck?
How to survive in a world where luck and randomness play a pivotal role. Topics covered include: What are power laws What are the narrative fallacy and hindsight bias What are examples of domains where randomness has contributed to success What are ways to distinguish investing skill from luck How sixth-century philosopher Boethius had an accurate view of chance What are ways we can benefit from good luck while protecting ourselves from bad luck Show … [Read more...]
407: Worry-Free Retirement Investing
How to use laddered inflation-indexed bonds (i.e., TIPS), CDs, fixed annuities, and fixed index annuities to meet retirement living expenses while worrying less about running out of money. Topics covered include: How individuals can use liability-driven investment strategies Why now is the best opportunity to buy Treasury Inflation Protection Securities in 15 years How to use bond ladders How deferred fixed and deferred variable annuities work How to analyze fixed index … [Read more...]
406: Annie Duke on Better Investing and the Danger of Grit
In Episode 406, David and Camden visit with Annie Duke about how to better manage our investment portfolios including when and what to sell. We also discuss a number of behavioral finance topics such as mental accounting, sunk costs, and goal myopia. Annie Duke is an author, speaker, and consultant in the decision-making space, as well as Special Partner focused on Decision Science at First Round Capital Partners, a seed-stage venture fund. Annie’s latest book, Quit: The Power of … [Read more...]
405: When Volatility Spikes, Financial Things Break
What is volatility and what causes it to rise and fall? How volatility itself contributes to more volatility such as in the example of the chaotic UK government bond market where long-term yields have increased by 4% in 2022. Topics covered include: How the role of volatility has changed in financial markets What caused UK interest rates to spike and long-term bond investors to lose 50% What is liability-driven investment What drives increases in volatility and volatility … [Read more...]
Portfolio Trade: Exiting Simplify Volatility Premium ETF (SVOL)
404: Why Is the U.S. Dollar So Strong? Will It Continue?
What has caused the U.S. dollar's currency exchange rate to be the strongest in twenty years? How a strong dollar leads to slower global economic growth and falling asset prices. Topics covered include: Why a strong dollar is a no-win situation for the rest of the world Why have inflation and interest rates increased Why recession risks are rising as central banks combat inflation Why asset prices fall when interest rates rise What would cause the U.S. dollar to weaken … [Read more...]
403: The Pandemic Might Be “Over,” but Not Its Repercussions
How risk perceptions and actions have changed over several years of the pandemic. How the pandemic's impacts continue to affect politics, the economy, financial markets, how we invest, and our personal lives. Topics covered include: Is the pandemic really over? Based on what criteriaWhat percentage of people continue to isolate at homeHow behaviors such as eating out and visiting friends have changed throughout the pandemic.How work has changed with the pandemicHas pandemic stimulus … [Read more...]
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